Friday, November 04, 2005

Week 10 Picks


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The Biggest Games(ranked by significance)

1. Miami at Virginia Tech- Who has Miami played and beaten since their opening season loss to Florida State? The Hurricanes were dominated by a good Seminole defense, and they face an even better defense Saturday in Virginia Tech. Kyle Wright has not become the world beater like Ken Dorsey did as a sophomore, and will be out played by Marcus Vick. Virginia Tech 17, Miami 9.

2. Wisconsin at Penn State- The battle for first place in the Big Ten is in State College Saturday. I am sure few thought the conference title would come down to a Nittany Lion-Badger matchup, but the race is not over Michigan and Ohio State still have an outside shot at the title. Michael Robinson is playing his best football at the right time. The winner probably goes to the BCS, while the loser will be headed to Florida come January 1. Penn State 31, Wisconsin 28.

3. Stanford at Southern California- Can Stanford give USC a similar scare they gave UCLA? No! Will USC win by 34? Maybe, but the Cardinal always give the Trojans a fight. In fact Stanford was the last team to beat USC in the Coliseum. USC 52, Stanford 34.

4. Cal at Oregon- The million dollar question is how will Dennis Dixon fare in place of Kellen Clemons? Just ok. But, that should be enough to handle the Bears. Dixon has played like a deer in headlights at times this season, but he is the man this week. His mobility will be a huge factor, but the Ducks can not afford to get into a shootout with Cal. Oregon 26, Cal 24.

5. Tennessee at Notre Dame- In the preseason I said this matchup would look good name wise, but not field wise. I stated the teams would be going in opposite directions, with one aiming for the BCS. Well, I was right about the matchup but wrong about which teams. Notre Dame is well on its way towards a possible BCS game and Tennessee is struggling to get back to .500. Notre Dame 23, Tennessee 13.

6. TCU at Colorado State- The Rams made the amazing comeback last week at New Mexico to set up the game of the year in the Mountain West Conference. TCU can all but wrap up a conference title with a win, but a Ram victory would allow CSU to control their own destiny. It is a shame that this game will not be on TV, as both teams have exceeded their respective preseason expectations. TCU 21, Colorado State 20.

7. Missouri at Colorado- Missouri's collapse last week at Kansas screwed what was going to be the game of the year in the Big 12 North. The game still will have big effect on the outcome of the division, but the Tigers hardly looked like the same challenge as many thought two weeks when they routed Nebraska. Missouri continues their up and down season and makes this game close. Colorado 35, Missouri 34.

3 Potential Upsets........

What will happen- Kansas will beat Nebraska- The Jayhawks are only a one point underdog, but few realize that the Jayhawks are on the same level as the Cornhuskers.

What might happen- Arizona over UCLA- The Bruins are just asking to be upset. The miracle comeback at Stanford was the best yet. The Wildcats are much improved.

What is unlikely to happen- Baylor upset Texas- Texas Tech just shut out the Bears last week, but this is an unlikely scenario. If Young gets hurt or has a bad game, the Longhorns are just a shadow of themselves.

Betting Man? Surefire Picks!

Stanford (+34) at USC- UCLA needed overtime to beat Stanford, USC is much better than the Cardinal but 34 points is stretch.

Nevada (-6) vs Hawaii- Nevada is a good home team and Hawaii is awful away from the Island.

Rutgers (-3) vs South Florida- The Knights are on a roll, and New Jersey in November is not kind to teams from the Sunshine State.

all my other picks at D1AFootball.com

previous week

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