Friday, November 11, 2005

Week 11 Picks

The Biggest Games(ranked by significance)

1. LSU at Alabama- What a matchup, two top five teams battling for a spot in the SEC championship game. Alabama's offensive has been anemic since the loss of Tyrone Prothro against Florida. LSU has two solid wins over Florida and Auburn, but both were in Death Valley. Bama will win a close one at home. Alabama 13, LSU 12.

2. Auburn at Georgia- D.J. Shockley's injury cost the 'Dawgs a shot at the Rose Bowl. The offense could not do anything against Florida. Auburn is a lot better than their ranking and record. The visiting team has had great success in the South's Oldest Rivalry. Auburn 17, Georgia 14.

3. Southern Cal at Cal- Does anyone think this game will be close? This was suppose to be USC toughest challenge of the year. Fresno State will give the Trojans a better game next week. Southern Cal 48, Cal 24.

4. Northwestern at Ohio State- Northwestern's magical run at a Big Ten title ends here. Ohio State is on a mission. A win here sets up a big game at the Big House. Ohio State 45, Northwestern 17.

5. Florida at South Carolina- A Florida win coupled by a Georgia loss would put the Gators in the SEC title game. Florida has not shined this season like many thought, but the Gators are still in the BCS picture in mid November. How ironic, Steve Spurrier could prevent Florida from getting to the SEC championship game. A place they have not been since he was the head coach. South Carolina 14, Florida 10.

6. Colorado at Iowa State- Colorado is on a collision course for a rematch with Texas in the Big 12 championship game. Even a loss to the Cyclones will not derail the Buffs. They will still have a one game lead over anyone else in the North. Iowa State is playing their best football since the win over Iowa in September. Iowa State 31, Colorado 27.

7. Arizona State at UCLA- UCLA's dream season was dashed in the desert last week. A win over Arizona State could help ease the pain the next three weeks before the game at USC. The Sun Devils are still not the same team without Sam Keller, but are playing better since his injury. Arizona State 34, UCLA 31.

3 Potential Upsets.........

What will happen- Clemson beats Florida State- Bowden Bowl no. (who cares). Even without a healthy Charlie Whitehurst, Clemson will get two in a row and it might be just enough to keep Tommy in town for one more year.

What might happen- Washington State over Oregon- Dennis Dixon did not impress anyone in Kellen Clemons absence and Brady Leaf had to come in for relief. The Ducks should have just enough to beat the Cougars, but Washington State is capable of blowing out UO, too.

What is unlikely to happen- UNLV upsets TCU- With the Mountain West title already wrapped up, the Frogs could be overlooking their last game against the Rebels. UNLV pulled a big upset over 2002 MWC champ Colorado State in the 15th ranked Ram's last game of the season.

Betting Man? Surefire Picks!

Hawaii(-17) vs Utah State- The Aggies have not played at Hawaii since the mid 1960's. The Island is not kind to teams from the mainland.

Wisconsin(-3) vs Iowa- Barry Alvarez's last game at Camp Randall, the place will be rocking.

Memphis(+18.5) at Tennessee- Loser of this game can kiss their bowl hopes goodbye. Memphis will be amped for their in-state rival. Tennessee should win but will not cover.

the rest of my other picks at D1AFootball.com

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